Yahoo Finance Posthaste: Canada could become a nation of renters in the years ahead, RBC report says
Good morning!
Rentership is growing at a much faster pace than homeownership in Canada, with renters increasing at three times the rate of homeowners in the past decade, according to a new Royal Bank of Canada report.
Although homeowner households still dominate the housing market by a two-to-one ratio, renters account for most of the recent growth, the report said. In the past 10 years, rentership increased by 22 per cent or 876,000 households, while homeownership increased eight per cent or 770,000 households.
Indeed, Canada has never had so many renters. In the past year alone, nearly five million households rented the home they lived in, up from 4.1 million a decade earlier. And the shift is not just a young, urban phenomenon, but a widespread change across age groups and areas.
Baby boomers (born between 1946 to 1964) surpassed millennials (born between 1981 to 1996) as the fastest-growing group of renters between 2011 and 2021, according to the report.
Similarly, more households in both big and small cities are renting, suggesting affordability issues in large, and that urban areas may not be the only driving force. The report found that renter growth over the past decade was stronger in smaller cities at 22 per cent, than in larger cities (21 per cent).
What’s fuelling the rental demand? The report points to the country’s demographic trends, which include rising immigration and an aging population.
Immigrants represent a disproportionately high share of rental households and Canada’s rapidly growing immigration targets, rising to more than 401,000 in 2021 from 250,000 in 2011, have significantly boosted the demand for rental housing. The report said 56 per cent, or 640,700 of the one million recent immigrants living in private dwellings, were in rental housing in 2018.
The aging population has also boosted demand, with 22 per cent of the five million tenant-occupied dwellings recorded in 2021 occupied by seniors (aged 65 and up), compared to 19 per cent in 2011.
Another factor is that more Canadians are choosing to live alone and represented almost 30 per cent of all households last year. Single people overtook married couples in 2016 as the most prominent household type. Many of these individuals end up renting because the high cost of homeownership often requires two incomes.
Affordability challenges are also affecting younger generations trying to climb the housing ladder. Millennials are lingering in rentership three to five years longer than their baby boomer counterparts before entering homeownership, the report said.
The many programs designed to help first-time homebuyers do not seem to be doing much either, as the rate of homeownership — 66 per cent in 2021 — is trending lower.
These trends are not expected to disappear anytime soon.
“We expect these demographic and behavioural trends to continue fuelling demand for rental housing in the years ahead,” the report’s authors, Robert Hogue and Rachel Battaglia, said. “We’ll need to build more rental units. A lot more.”
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The Bank of Canada might be finished raising interest rates, writes Kevin Carmichael. Governor Tiff Macklem raised the benchmark interest rate a half-point on Dec. 7, which surprised some Bay Street economists who thought the central bank would opt to taper a series of outsized increases to avoid causing undue damage to the economy. Macklem signalled that he’s prepared to pause and assess now that the benchmark interest rate is at 4.25 per cent, four percentage points higher than at the start of the year. “Looking ahead, Governing Council will be considering whether the policy interest rate needs to rise further to bring supply and demand back into balance and return inflation to target,” the statement said. Read Carmichael’s full take here.
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The UN Biodiversity Conference continues in Montreal. Governments from around the world will come together to agree on a new set of goals to guide global actions through 2040 to protect and restore nature
Sharon Kozicki, deputy governor of the Bank of Canada, will speak before the Institut de developpement urbain du Quebec
Quebec Finance Minister Eric Girard will present an update on Quebec’s economic and financial situation
The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions will make its semi-annual announcement regarding the level of the Domestic Stability Buffer. Officials will also discuss the results of the review of the DSB’s design and range announced in December 2021
Karina Gould, minister of families, children and social development, will hold a press conference on new measures to strengthen early learning and child care
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will attend the Special Chiefs Assembly of the Assembly of First Nations and deliver remarks
Sylvia Jones, Ontario deputy premier and minister of health, will make an announcement
Online seminar on advancing Calgary as an innovation hub. The New Economy LIVE will explore how Calgary can continue momentum in its innovation ecosystem. Industry panellists will discuss pathways to accelerate growth, including the creation of innovation districts to spark more eureka moments and be a magnet for creative thinkers
Manitoba premier Heather Stefanson delivers her annual state of the province speech to the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce
Labour Minister Seamus O’Regan Jr. will participate in the launch of Multilateral Partnership for Organizing, Worker Empowerment, and Rights (M-POWER), a global initiative to strengthen and support unions and other democratic worker organizations
Today’s data: U.S. initial jobless claims, quarterly services survey
Earnings: Costco Wholesale Corp., Lululemon Athletica Inc., Vail Resorts Inc., Major Drilling Group International Inc.
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Mortgage rates to soar higher after latest interest rate increase, but end of hiking cycle in sight
Manulife insurance claims show post-COVID increase in diabetes among young people
‘Nickel and copper’s time’: Vale to split off metals group to capitalize on battery demand
Dollarama expects sales to stay strong as shoppers look to fight inflation
Opening the door to a pause: What economists say about the Bank of Canada decision
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Buying your first car in Canada? To make the most out of your stay in Canada, getting a car might be a necessary expense. But the process of buying a car in a new country can come with new challenges, even for experienced drivers and car owners. Our content partner MoneyWise Canada breaks down some of the key things to consider.
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Today’s Posthaste was written by Noella Ovid, with additional reporting from The Canadian Press, Thomson Reuters and Bloomberg.
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