Advertisement
Canada markets open in 7 hours 31 minutes
  • S&P/TSX

    21,873.72
    -138.00 (-0.63%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,071.63
    +1.08 (+0.02%)
     
  • DOW

    38,460.92
    -42.77 (-0.11%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7305
    +0.0007 (+0.10%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.93
    +0.12 (+0.14%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    87,942.67
    -3,469.69 (-3.80%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,389.79
    -34.31 (-2.41%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,329.80
    -8.60 (-0.37%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    1,995.43
    -7.22 (-0.36%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.6520
    -4.5980 (-49.71%)
     
  • NASDAQ futures

    17,436.75
    -227.75 (-1.29%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    15.97
    +0.28 (+1.78%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,040.38
    -4.43 (-0.06%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,606.94
    -853.14 (-2.22%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6817
    -0.0002 (-0.03%)
     

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Auckland International Airport Limited (NZSE:AIA)?

While Auckland International Airport Limited (NZSE:AIA) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NZSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Auckland International Airport’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Auckland International Airport

What's the opportunity in Auckland International Airport?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 16.59% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Auckland International Airport today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth NZ$6.99, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. What's more, Auckland International Airport’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What kind of growth will Auckland International Airport generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Auckland International Airport, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Currently, AIA appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

ADVERTISEMENT

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on AIA for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on AIA should the price fluctuate below its true value.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Auckland International Airport you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Auckland International Airport, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.