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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Big Rock Brewery Inc. (TSE:BR) Even After 29% Share Price Boost

Big Rock Brewery Inc. (TSE:BR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 51% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies operating in Canada's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider Big Rock Brewery as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Big Rock Brewery


What Does Big Rock Brewery's Recent Performance Look Like?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Big Rock Brewery recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes the recent lacklustre revenue performance is a sign of future underperformance relative to industry peers, hurting the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Big Rock Brewery will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Big Rock Brewery's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Big Rock Brewery's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 10% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 5.3% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Big Rock Brewery is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Big Rock Brewery's P/S?

Big Rock Brewery's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Big Rock Brewery currently trades at a low P/S relative to the industry is unexpected considering its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see industry-like revenue growth but a lower than expected P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing downward pressure on the share price. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Big Rock Brewery has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Big Rock Brewery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at)

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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