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What Is Magellan Aerospace's (TSE:MAL) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Magellan Aerospace (TSE:MAL) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days. Indeed the recent decline has arguably caused some bitterness for shareholders who have held through the 45% drop over twelve months.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

View our latest analysis for Magellan Aerospace

Does Magellan Aerospace Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 6.45 that sentiment around Magellan Aerospace isn't particularly high. The image below shows that Magellan Aerospace has a lower P/E than the average (15.9) P/E for companies in the aerospace & defense industry.

TSX:MAL Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 10th 2020
TSX:MAL Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 10th 2020

Magellan Aerospace's P/E tells us that market participants think it will not fare as well as its peers in the same industry. Since the market seems unimpressed with Magellan Aerospace, it's quite possible it could surprise on the upside. If you consider the stock interesting, further research is recommended. For example, I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Companies that shrink earnings per share quickly will rapidly decrease the 'E' in the equation. That means unless the share price falls, the P/E will increase in a few years. So while a stock may look cheap based on past earnings, it could be expensive based on future earnings.

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Magellan Aerospace shrunk earnings per share by 4.2% last year. But EPS is up 9.6% over the last 5 years.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Magellan Aerospace's Balance Sheet

Net debt totals just 4.3% of Magellan Aerospace's market cap. The market might award it a higher P/E ratio if it had net cash, but its unlikely this low level of net borrowing is having a big impact on the P/E multiple.

The Bottom Line On Magellan Aerospace's P/E Ratio

Magellan Aerospace has a P/E of 6.4. That's below the average in the CA market, which is 13.6. The debt levels are not a major concern, but the lack of EPS growth is likely weighing on sentiment. Given Magellan Aerospace's P/E ratio has declined from 9.3 to 6.4 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer invest in growth, this stock apparently offers limited promise, but the deep value investors may find the pessimism around this stock enticing.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.