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Introducing Maple Gold Mines (CVE:MGM), A Stock That Climbed 100% In The Last Five Years

Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, the Maple Gold Mines Ltd. (CVE:MGM) share price is up 100% in the last 5 years, clearly besting than the market return of around 1.1% (ignoring dividends).

View our latest analysis for Maple Gold Mines

With zero revenue generated over twelve months, we don't think that Maple Gold Mines has proved its business plan yet. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). For example, investors may be hoping that Maple Gold Mines finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

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We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Some Maple Gold Mines investors have already had a taste of the sweet taste stocks like this can leave in the mouth, as they gain popularity and attract speculative capital.

When it reported in March 2019 Maple Gold Mines had minimal cash in excess of all liabilities consider its expenditure: just CA$2.1m to be specific. So if it has not already moved to replenish reserves, we think the near-term chances of a capital raising event are pretty high. Given how low on cash the it got, investors must really like its potential for the share price to be up 15% per year, over 5 years. You can see in the image below, how Maple Gold Mines's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). You can see in the image below, how Maple Gold Mines's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

TSXV:MGM Historical Debt, July 30th 2019
TSXV:MGM Historical Debt, July 30th 2019

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. However you can take a look at whether insiders have been buying up shares. It's usually a positive if they have, as it may indicate they see value in the stock. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).

A Different Perspective

Investors in Maple Gold Mines had a tough year, with a total loss of 31%, against a market gain of about 1.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 15% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

Of course Maple Gold Mines may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.