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Imagine Owning G6 Materials (CVE:GGG) And Trying To Stomach The 89% Share Price Drop

Simply Wall St
·4 mins read

G6 Materials Corp. (CVE:GGG) shareholders are doubtless heartened to see the share price bounce 129% in just one week. But spare a thought for the long term holders, who have held the stock as it bled value over the last five years. Five years have seen the share price descend precipitously, down a full 89%. It's true that the recent bounce could signal the company is turning over a new leaf, but we are not so sure. The real question is whether the business can leave its past behind and improve itself over the years ahead.

While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.

See our latest analysis for G6 Materials

With just US$859,092 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers G6 Materials to have proven its business plan. This state of affairs suggests that venture capitalists won't provide funds on attractive terms. As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. Investors will be hoping that G6 Materials can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress - and share price - will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. It certainly is a dangerous place to invest, as G6 Materials investors might realise.

Our data indicates that G6 Materials had US$337k more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in November 2019. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But since the share price has dived -36% per year, over 5 years , it looks like some investors think it's time to abandon ship, so to speak. The image below shows how G6 Materials's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

TSXV:GGG Historical Debt March 31st 2020
TSXV:GGG Historical Debt March 31st 2020

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. Given that situation, would you be concerned if it turned out insiders were relentlessly selling stock? It would bother me, that's for sure. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that G6 Materials shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.7% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 36% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - G6 Materials has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.