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Can You Imagine How Ecstatic Aurion Resources's (CVE:AU) Shareholders Feel About Its 2300% Share Price Increase?

It certainly might concern Aurion Resources Ltd. (CVE:AU) shareholders to see the share price down 46% in just 30 days. But that does not change the realty that the stock's performance has been terrific, over five years. In fact, during that period, the share price climbed 2300%. Impressive! So we don't think the recent decline in the share price means its story is a sad one. Of course what matters most is whether the business can improve itself sustainably, thus justifying a higher price.

We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!

View our latest analysis for Aurion Resources

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We don't think Aurion Resources's revenue of CA$51,438 is enough to establish significant demand. So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). It seems likely some shareholders believe that Aurion Resources will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. Some Aurion Resources investors have already had a taste of the sweet taste stocks like this can leave in the mouth, as they gain popularity and attract speculative capital.

Aurion Resources had cash in excess of all liabilities of CA$19m when it last reported (September 2019). While that's nothing to panic about, there is some possibility the company will raise more capital, especially if profits are not imminent. With the share price up 15% per year, over 5 years , the market is seems hopeful about the potential, despite the cash burn. You can see in the image below, how Aurion Resources's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). You can see in the image below, how Aurion Resources's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values).

TSXV:AU Historical Debt, February 28th 2020
TSXV:AU Historical Debt, February 28th 2020

In reality it's hard to have much certainty when valuing a business that has neither revenue or profit. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. It's usually a positive if they have, as it may indicate they see value in the stock. Luckily we are in a position to provide you with this free chart of insider buying (and selling).

A Different Perspective

Investors in Aurion Resources had a tough year, with a total loss of 16%, against a market gain of about 1.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 89%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 6 warning signs with Aurion Resources (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But note: Aurion Resources may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.