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If You Had Bought AXMIN (CVE:AXM) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 1067% Gain Today

Simply Wall St
·4 mins read

Long term investing can be life changing when you buy and hold the truly great businesses. While not every stock performs well, when investors win, they can win big. Don't believe it? Then look at the AXMIN Inc. (CVE:AXM) share price. It's 1067% higher than it was five years ago. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. The last week saw the share price soften some 2.8%.

Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.

See our latest analysis for AXMIN

With just US$831,121 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers AXMIN to have proven its business plan. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. It seems likely some shareholders believe that AXMIN will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

As a general rule, if a company doesn't have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets to raise equity. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies do very well over the long term, others become hyped up by promoters before eventually falling back down to earth, and going bankrupt (or being recapitalized). Of course, if you time it right, high risk investments like this can really pay off, as AXMIN investors might know.

When it last reported its balance sheet in September 2019, AXMIN had cash in excess of all liabilities of US$939k. That's not too bad but management may have to think about raising capital or taking on debt, unless the company is close to breaking even. With the share price up 26% per year, over 5 years , the market is seems hopeful about the potential, despite the cash burn. You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how AXMIN's cash levels have changed over time.

TSXV:AXM Historical Debt May 12th 2020
TSXV:AXM Historical Debt May 12th 2020

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. One thing you can do is check if company insiders are buying shares. If they are buying a significant amount of shares, that's certainly a good thing. You can click here to see if there are insiders buying.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that AXMIN shareholders are down 63% for the year. Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 10.0%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 63%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with AXMIN (including 1 which is doesn't sit too well with us) .

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.