Advertisement
Canada markets open in 3 hours 40 minutes
  • S&P/TSX

    21,740.20
    -159.79 (-0.73%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,061.82
    -61.59 (-1.20%)
     
  • DOW

    37,735.11
    -248.13 (-0.65%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7253
    -0.0001 (-0.01%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    85.05
    -0.36 (-0.42%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    87,422.74
    -4,677.47 (-5.08%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    885.54
    0.00 (0.00%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,387.00
    +4.00 (+0.17%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    1,975.71
    -27.47 (-1.37%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.6280
    0.0000 (0.00%)
     
  • NASDAQ futures

    17,853.25
    -23.00 (-0.13%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    19.25
    +0.02 (+0.10%)
     
  • FTSE

    7,844.44
    -121.09 (-1.52%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    38,471.20
    -761.60 (-1.94%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6819
    -0.0005 (-0.07%)
     

Fortis Inc. (TSE:FTS) Is Yielding 3.5% - But Is It A Buy?

Today we'll take a closer look at Fortis Inc. (TSE:FTS) from a dividend investor's perspective. Owning a strong business and reinvesting the dividends is widely seen as an attractive way of growing your wealth. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

A high yield and a long history of paying dividends is an appealing combination for Fortis. It would not be a surprise to discover that many investors buy it for the dividends. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Fortis for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Fortis!

TSX:FTS Historical Dividend Yield, January 13th 2020
TSX:FTS Historical Dividend Yield, January 13th 2020

Payout ratios

Companies (usually) pay dividends out of their earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, the dividend might have to be cut. As a result, we should always investigate whether a company can afford its dividend, measured as a percentage of a company's net income after tax. In the last year, Fortis paid out 50% of its profit as dividends. This is a medium payout level that leaves enough capital in the business to fund opportunities that might arise, while also rewarding shareholders. Besides, if reinvestment opportunities dry up, the company has room to increase the dividend.

ADVERTISEMENT

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Last year, Fortis paid a dividend while reporting negative free cash flow. While there may be an explanation, we think this behaviour is generally not sustainable.

Is Fortis's Balance Sheet Risky?

As Fortis has a meaningful amount of debt, we need to check its balance sheet to see if the company might have debt risks. A quick check of its financial situation can be done with two ratios: net debt divided by EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation), and net interest cover. Net debt to EBITDA measures total debt load relative to company earnings (lower = less debt), while net interest cover measures the ability to pay interest on the debt (higher = greater ability to pay interest costs). With net debt of 6.30 times its EBITDA, Fortis could be described as a highly leveraged company. While some companies can handle this level of leverage, we'd be concerned about the dividend sustainability if there was any risk of an earnings downturn.

Net interest cover can be calculated by dividing earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) by the company's net interest expense. Interest cover of 2.22 times its interest expense is starting to become a concern for Fortis, and be aware that lenders may place additional restrictions on the company as well. Low interest cover and high debt can create problems right when the investor least needs them, and we're reluctant to rely on the dividend of companies with these traits.

We update our data on Fortis every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Fortis's dividend payments. The dividend has been stable over the past 10 years, which is great. We think this could suggest some resilience to the business and its dividends. During the past ten-year period, the first annual payment was CA$1.04 in 2010, compared to CA$1.91 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 6.3% per year over this time.

Businesses that can grow their dividends at a decent rate and maintain a stable payout can generate substantial wealth for shareholders over the long term.

Dividend Growth Potential

While dividend payments have been relatively reliable, it would also be nice if earnings per share (EPS) were growing, as this is essential to maintaining the dividend's purchasing power over the long term. Strong earnings per share (EPS) growth might encourage our interest in the company despite fluctuating dividends, which is why it's great to see Fortis has grown its earnings per share at 17% per annum over the past five years. Earnings per share have been growing at a good rate, and the company is paying less than half its earnings as dividends. We generally think this is an attractive combination, as it permits further reinvestment in the business.

We'd also point out that Fortis issued a meaningful number of new shares in the past year. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. Firstly, the company has a conservative payout ratio, although we'd note that its cashflow in the past year was substantially lower than its reported profit. We like that it has been delivering solid improvement in its earnings per share, and relatively consistent dividend payments. Overall we think Fortis is an interesting dividend stock, although it could be better.

Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 12 analysts we track are forecasting for Fortis for free with public analyst estimates for the company.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.