EURJPY at Risk Sub 135- Short Scalps Favored
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Talking Points
EURJPY at risk for pullback- Possible H&S setup
Short-scalps favored against today’s high
EUR/JPY Daily
Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
Technical Outlook
EURJPY setting monthly opening range below key resistance
At risk for correction lower after tagging TL confluence last week
Key support with the march median-line / 132.20/63 backed by 131& 129.87
Breach above 135.79 needed to shift focus back to the long-side (bearish invalidation)
Topside resistance objectives at the upper MLP, 137.16 & 137.93
Daily RSI support trigger pending
Event Risk Ahead: Japan Trade Balance tonight & Eurozone GDP tomorrow
EUR/JPY 30min
Notes:EURJPY looks to be holding within the confines of a median-line formation off the initial May highs with last night’s rally reversing off the upper MLP / Fibonacci resistance into 135.12. Proximity to resistance & a subsequent turnaround in momentum has us holding shorts here with ¼ of the trade closed out at the initial 37pip ATR profit target. Interim support stands at 134.18/20 backed by the TL support / 133.74 & the weekly low.
Bottom line: looking lower against today’s high’s (near-term bearish invalidation) with a break below the weekly lows targeting the 132.80 region / the operative ML. Caution is warranted heading into event risk this week with Japanese Trade Balance Figures tonight and Eurozone GDP data tomorrow likely to fuel added volatility in EUR & JPY crosses. A breach above 135.28 invalidates our scalp bias with a push through 135.80 shifting the focus back to the long-side of the pair.
* It’s extremely important to give added consideration regarding the timing of intra-day scalps with the opening ranges on a session & hourly basis offering further clarity on intra-day biases.
Relevant Data Releases
Other Setups in Play:
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AUDJPY Breakout Scalps Target 200 DMA Ahead of BoJ, China PMI
---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX
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