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EUR/USD Mid-Session Technical Analysis for February 22, 2018

The EUR/USD touched its lowest level since February 12 before tuning higher for the session on Thursday. U.S. Weekly Unemployment Claims hit 222K, coming in better-than-expected, so this may not have been the reason for the intraday short-covering rally. The move is taking place despite indications the Fed may raise interest rates as many as three times in 2018.

EURUSD
Daily EUR/USD

Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. However, momentum has been trending lower since the formation of a closing price reversal top on February 16.

A trade through 1.2205 will change the main trend to down. A move through 1.2555 will negate the reversal top and signal a resumption of the uptrend. This could lead to a test of the December 16, 2014 main top at 1.2569 and the major Fibonacci level at 1.2597.

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The short-term range is 1.2205 to 1.2555. Its retracement zone is 1.2380 to 1.2339. The market is currently trading on the weak side of this zone, helping to give it a downside bias. This zone will control the direction of the market as long as the EUR/USD holds above 1.2205.

If the trend changes to down then look for a move into the major 50% level at 1.2166, followed closely by the main bottom at 1.2164.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

Based on the early price action, a trade through 1.2259 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger an acceleration into 1.2205, 1.2166 then 1.2164.

Overcoming and sustaining a move over the Fib level at 1.2339 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could lead to a test of the 50% level at 1.2380. Overtaking this level will indicate the presence of buyers. This could lead to an acceleration to the upside.

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

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