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Edited Transcript of MTL.TO earnings conference call or presentation 23-Jul-20 3:00pm GMT

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Q2 2020 Mullen Group Ltd Earnings Call OKOTOKS Aug 27, 2020 (Thomson StreetEvents) -- Edited Transcript of Mullen Group Ltd earnings conference call or presentation Thursday, July 23, 2020 at 3:00:00pm GMT TEXT version of Transcript ================================================================================ Corporate Participants ================================================================================ * Murray K. Mullen Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President * P. Stephen Clark Mullen Group Ltd. - CFO ================================================================================ Conference Call Participants ================================================================================ * John Gibson BMO Capital Markets Equity Research - Analyst * Konark Gupta Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division - Analyst * Michael Storry-Robertson National Bank Financial, Inc., Research Division - Associate * Walter Noel Spracklin RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst ================================================================================ Presentation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [1] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the Mullen Group Limited Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. (Operator Instructions) I would now like to turn the conference over to Murray K. Mullen, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President. Please go ahead. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [2] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Welcome, everyone, to Mullen Group's quarterly conference call. Once again, we will be discussing our financial and operating performance for the second quarter, and this will be followed by an update on the near-term outlook as we see it. But before I commence today's review, I shall remind everyone that the -- our presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based upon current expectations and are subject to a number of uncertainties and risks, and actual results may differ materially. Now further information identifying the risks, the uncertainties and assumptions can be found in the disclosure documents, which are filed on SEDAR and at www.mullen-group.com. So with me this morning, I have our executive team. I have Stephen Clark, who's our CFO, who is practicing the art of social distancing and is attending via telephone; Richard Maloney, Senior VP; I have Joanna Scott, Corporate Secretary and VP of Corporate Services; and Carson Urlacher, who's our Corporate Controller. The Q2 2020 financial and operating performance. Well, that was a quarter that I'll start with that we all probably want to forget. It started off with no one having a playbook, having no idea about how bad of a health crisis COVID-19 would be, how much business we would have or how many people would lose their jobs. And not knowing can be very scary. Certainly, it was stressful. Now today, we provide commentary in the second quarter 2020 as well as provide some of our thoughts about what the next few quarters will look like from our perspective. I think we all know and understand that business activity will return to the norm once COVID-19 has either run its course, like many past pandemics, or the really smart people of this world find a vaccine or some therapeutic drugs that stops this virus in its tracks. It's the timing we're all uncertain about. So realistically, everything we opine about today is less than an educated guesstimate. What we can tell you is what we are seeing happening in real-time as it relates to our business, which, by the way, covers numerous sectors of the Canadian economy. So from this perspective, we have a pretty good viewpoint. Now I'll provide a macro overview of our results, and Stephen Clark will provide additional segment commentary as well as provide an update on our balance sheet, which we have strategically structured to ensure we have flexibility as well as being positioned to capitalize on opportunities. Of course, all of the details concerning Q2 can be found in our MD&A. Now most of you will recall that we provided stakeholders with a pretty detailed mid-quarter update on June 11. As such, today's call may be somewhat repetitive, so we will keep our comments to a minimum. We all know the quarter started out with a heightened level of uncertainty. But as the quarter unfolded, it became evident that the sky was not falling and that the crisis could be managed, not without issue, not without change and certainly not without having to adapt. But the best news is that by the end of the quarter, there were at least, at the very least, some really green shoot potential providing some room for optimism, economically speaking, as well as from a health care perspective. So how has the Mullen Group done since the onset of COVID-19? Well, first, I'm pleased to report that we've only had one reported case of COVID-19, and it was managed. We had a young fellow that came in contact with a friend, and he made the right call and was self-isolated. And that was the only case that we know of in our -- all of our whole group. So we've had lots of sick days because no one is allowed at work if we have any health care symptoms so just so we are on the safe side. So from this perspective, we're really confident that the steps we've initiated worked exceptionally well. Now second, from a business perspective, we actually did okay given what we had to deal with. Revenues were down by $61.5 million or about 20% year-over-year. Now there are several reasons for the decline, some of which are obvious to everyone. For example, it will come as no surprise that the Canadian economy was hampered, hammered by government-mandated closures resulting in plant and business shutdowns as well as changes in consumer spending patterns. Canada's GDP, the standard measurement of economic activity and health of an economy, was the worst since the Great Depression, with estimates having GDP falling by a staggering 25% annualized, and this is from The Conference Board of Canada. Job losses were in the millions. And even as of June, we had 1.8 million Canadians still unemployed since March. And then the unemployment rate is now well above 12%. The energy industry was one of the hardest hit sectors of the economy, but not the only one, of course, resulting in unprecedented declines in crude pricing, and really undermining the financial stability of the entire industry affecting jobs, activity levels and settlement. But there were other reasons for the revenue declines, so let me explain. Lower crude prices negatively impacted the industry. However, this also led to the lower fuel prices, which is somewhat of a positive for consumers of fuel, but devastating for the oil and gas industry, obviously, and not surprisingly, the province of Alberta. In our industry, fuel costs are generally a flow-through cost to shippers and recorded as fuel surcharge revenue in many cases. As such, Q2 revenues were down by $9.4 million due to lower fuel surcharges, clearly a negative from a revenue perspective. However, on the flip side, our fuel costs were also down $8.2 million because of fewer trucks on the road, but mostly because fuel prices declined. All in all, I would call this a wash from our perspective in the quarter. The other reason I will highlight for our revenue decline deals with what I refer to as counterparty risk. And given the uncertainty surrounding financial risk, we strategically decided to demarket certain customers, limit customer credit and exit certain markets when pricing fell to ridiculous levels. Let's refer to this as managing the risks. So as I highlighted, there are many reasons for our revenue declines last quarter, but let me be crystal clear on this issue. The news wasn't all bad. Normally 20% declines would be cause for a major concern. However, let me highlight some of the positives. Firstly, not every part of the Canadian economy was shut down. Consumers still consumed, meaning that the freight still had to move. LTL, the Less-Than-Truckload business, is the business of delivering goods to consumers and businesses that serve consumers, and it remains strong. In addition, many businesses were allowed to remain open during -- after being deemed essential services by the authorities that make such decrees. Let's take for example, our Premay Pipeline Hauling business. They had another outstanding quarter, hauling, stockpiling and stringing pipe for projects like Trans Mountain and Coastal Gas. Municipalities and businesses still required dewatering services because the snow melted and the spring rains once again arrived. Canadian Dewatering has a strong market presence in Western Canada and had another strong quarter. In some of the business units we have, like Kleysen Group, the operator of our transload operations, gained new business. So yes, revenues were down, but by the end of the quarter, we could see a clear path towards a full recovery as the economy emerged from mandated closures. And we should take note of all of the government and financial stimulus that has been added and will most likely be continually added and provided it to the economy. My view is that consumers will continue to do what they always have done, and that is consume. So from this perspective, the economy has a solid backdrop. And the more consumers spend, the quicker we get people back to work. Now if we can get business back to investing, then the path towards a full recovery becomes clearer, but more on this later. So now let me turn the call over to Stephen, who will comment on our operating profitability, which let me just say this. It's up from last year, enough said. With that, I'll turn it over to you to provide the listeners with how we did it. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. Stephen Clark, Mullen Group Ltd. - CFO [3] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, thank you, Murray, and good morning, fellow shareholders. Our second quarter interim report contains the full details of our performance. As such, I will only provide some high level commentary. In the midst of a global recession, economists, governments and investors have rightly focused on the depth, duration and consequences of the coronavirus-led crisis. The effects of COVID-19 are widespread. However, the impact on Mullen Group were not as bad as once thought. Revenue in all 3 segments declined, yes. And in the MD&A, we gave more specific information how each segment fared on a monthly basis, trying to give a sense of the depth of the recession and the pace of the recovery. On a consolidated basis, revenue declined by approximately 16% in April, 28% in May and then recovered to a year-over-year decline of approximately 12% in June. But not all segments follow these exact patterns, with Specialized & Industrial segment experienced the deepest declines and the LTL segment almost fully recovering in June. And you could refer to Page 23 of the MD&A to see how our LTL segment did specifically month by month. And same could be said for the other 2 segments. But specifically, revenue in the LTL, L&W and S&I segments declined by 9.3%, 18.9% and 30.1%, respectively. So let's call it 10%, 20% and 30%. Year-over-year revenue decreased by $61.5 to $257.5 million, including $5.4 million of acquisition revenue, and an offsetting approximately $10 million decrease in fuel surcharge revenue. Excluding the effects of acquisitions and fuel surcharge fluctuations, revenue decreased by a normalized $56.9 million or 19.2%. On a segment basis, the LTL's revenue decreased by $10.5 million or 9.3% to $101.9 million as compared to $112.4 million in 2019, including $5.4 million of acquisition revenue, which I spoke to earlier, and a $5.6 million decrease in fuel surcharge revenue. Excluding the effects of acquisitions and fuel surcharge fluctuations, the LTL segment revenue decreased by $10.3 million or 10.7%, largely due to declines in our Alberta-based business units. The L&W segment revenue fell by $19.3 million or 18.9% to $82.8 million. The S&I segment decreased by $31.6 million, and it had our largest decline at 30.1%, obviously due to the COVID-19 collapse in oil prices being somewhat offset by improved results at Premay Pipeline Hauling, Smook and Canadian Dewatering. As for profitability, operating income before depreciation and amortization, commonly referred to as OIBDA, increased by $3.6 million or 7% to $55 million. $55 million is a new record, a new Q2 record, but a record with an asterisk. The underlying number was $44.1 million and revenue was reduced by approximately $60 million. At our historic margin, this equates to $10.5 million of OIBDA lost. While government took away and government replaced with CEWS, the underlying OIBDA reflects the strength of our business model, but also one underlying fundamental. Diesel prices fell by an average of 15% during the quarter. This benefited our businesses and reduced fuel as a percentage of revenue to 7.1% from 9.7%. This benefit came about because we set the fuel surcharge rate at the beginning of the month and set it for the entire month. As the price of diesel falls rapidly during the month, we capture a bit of profit. But those that have followed us for a long time would note, we have been on the losing end of that formula in the past, a formula really designed to be neutral or fair. So I'll add another caveat or asterisk to our performance. As fuel prices rise, fuel expense as a percentage of revenue will come back to a more normal range. Now for more detail, the Less-Than-Truckload segment was up $1 million in OIBDA or 5.1% to $20.5 million. OIBDA improved due to the incremental OIBDA generated by the acquisitions of Argus and Inter-Urban last year and from $1.9 million of CEWS recognized during the quarter. These increases were somewhat offset by a weakened Alberta market. Operating margin increased to 20.1%, but if CEWS adjusted, 18.3% from 17.3% in 2019 due to lower diesel fuel prices and cost control initiatives. So asterisk up by 1% as a percentage of revenue, still a strong performance. Logistics & Warehousing segment was up by $2 million or 12.9% to $17.5 million. Operating margin improved to 21.1% from 15.2%, again, asterisk due to the $2.7 million of CEWS in this segment, but also because of the strong performance by Kleysen, lower diesel prices and other cost control measures. The CEWS adjusted margin was 17.9% or up 2.7% as a percentage of revenue. That was a strong execution by our business units and awaiting, as I said, towards higher-margin Kleysen work. Specialized & Industrial Services segment was up $1.7 million or 9.4% to $19.8 million of OIBDA. OIBDA improved due to recognizing $6.3 million of CEWS. They've received the majority of our wage subsidies during the quarter. It also benefited from higher-margin large diameter pipe hauling and stringing revenue. These increases were partially offset by lower OIBDA in those business units involved in the transportation of fluids and servicing of wells, also from those BUs directly tied to drilling activity. Operating margin improved to 26.9%, again, big asterisk from 17.2% in 2019 primarily due to CEWS, but also a greater proportion of higher margin revenue, lower diesel prices and cost control measures. CEWS adjusted margin was 18.4% as compared to 17.2%, so an improvement of 1.2% as a percentage of revenue. Again, strong execution and good diversity where we're not tied to just one segment of the oilfield service or the economy. Last, a quick word on the balance sheet. Net income from operating activities was up to approximately $85 million. This also comes with an asterisk as we stop making corporate tax installments. But it's, overall, a very good cash-generating quarter, and we continue to build on our cash. We also used some of this cash to buy back shares while they were on a discount and continued our capital expenditure program. Year-to-date, our CapEx is $24.1 million, about half of the announced $50 million budget halfway through the year. Again, we're on pace, but we may see a slight delay in capital arrivals as plants and factories were shut down during the second quarter. We have approximately $110 million of cash, up $25 million from Q1. In addition to our cash, we have an undrawn $150 million line of credit and substantial positive working capital. Our total net debt to operating cash flow financial covenant under our private placement agreement, which gives us the benefit of our in-the-money currency hedges, was 2.22:1. So about 2.25x cash flow, a rather conservative position during the height of a recession. So with that, I would call that a strong balance sheet. And with that, I'll pass the conference back to you, Murray. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [4] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. Thanks, Steph. So just to summarize what Steph -- and highlight a couple of things that he said. I think the #1 takeaway that I'll leave with everybody today is that yes, there was a downturn from COVID-19. The government stepped in, the government took it, the government gave back. But at the end of the day, what we noticed in ours is that our reported results are virtually spot on with our budget at the start of the year and the basic plan that we had articulated to all of our shareholders for 2020. So we -- in the absence of COVID, our models show that we were spot on. And the government just gave back some CEWS that -- a lot of our competitors are probably needing that to survive. But I'll tell you, our objective here is we don't need it to survive, but we will be using that to reinvest in the economy and to invest in our company for growth and to create jobs. So we're going to be reinvesting that -- those funds in future quarters. So I think what you heard thus far is that not only did we survive a major economic disruption again, but more importantly, we're actually stronger than ever. And just to reiterate a little bit what Steph said, we have a well-structured balance sheet. We have over $110 million in cash. We've got $150 million in unused committed bank lines. We have a diversified business model leveraged to the consumer part of the economy, which is performing at the best levels in the economy, right, today. We also have a presence in some high torque industries that flourish once capital begins to flow again into these sectors. We're positioned to grow via acquisition, which we will do again. We announced a couple letters of intent, and we'll have more on that as we do our due diligence. And due diligence is a little bit awkward these days as part of the new lack of travel and safety protocols we have to -- it's taking a little bit longer. But really, what we're announcing to everybody is we're going to be making acquisitions and strengthening our business over the next bit. And -- but we'll always be focused on strategic objectives. We've already repurchased 6.3 million shares of the share buyback -- under the share buyback. What I would say when the market was clearly misunderstanding our company over some other crazy reason, some of them I heard over the last quarter. I don't know where the heck those ideas came from, but we were happy to buy back stock. And we've repurchased 6.3 million on our way to the share buyback that will be finished in August of 8 million, and that will be it. We'll be tapped out for our share buyback for this year. But all these initiatives are adding -- so thus far have added 5.7 -- 5.5% in value to our existing shareholders. By the time we do all of the share buybacks, it will be a reduction of share count by 7.5%. We've already commenced rehiring about 50% of our workforce that was either furloughed or laid off, and we sure they had [hope] to bring back more. So all in all, I'm more than pleased with the steps that we implemented last quarter and our overall performance. So now what do we think is going to happen in the next? Let me turn my attention to that. So first, from a market perspective, I believe that the economy has turned the corner, then we can expect more of the same from a consumer demand perspective. This provides the steady base of business for our company. You already heard one in June, where our LTL business was flat or even up a little bit from previous years. So that's all good news. That's the consumer part of the business. We also believe business investment might start returning. But truthfully, I'm still on the fence on this one a little bit. It just seems that business executives and entrepreneurs are still skeptical about the future and lack the confidence to begin the reinvestment cycle again. That might take a little bit longer. The consumers are very reactive. Business takes a little more thought. And you've got to make sure they got the right balance sheet and have confidence in the future. But I think that's going to return. The timing might be a little bit delayed. But once that happens, the economy is back on a really good solid footing. So we'll have to watch this carefully. Clearly, some sectors of the economy will remain under duress for a little while longer. And let's just, for obvious sakes, say, the travel business, the oil and gas sector. But I think the base is being established for better days next year, and it just takes a little time to adjust. And all in all, I wouldn't be surprised to see similar results overall in the next couple of quarters of what we just experienced in the second quarter. So the balance of the year looks to be okay. And then we'll use that kind of okay to build off of and plan for the future. Now second part I would highlight is we have way too much cash on the balance sheet for our needs. As such, acquisitions are now our priority. But we're going to remain disciplined. We don't grow just to grow. And just to be clear, our primary objective remains focused on the consumer part of the economy during this part of the cycle. Third, we will compete -- complete our authorized share buyback program in August. As I talked about, that will be 8 million shares acquired at well below what every metric that I can think of. So to our loyal shareholders, you can thank those that did not believe in or understand our business model and the exciting future we are poised to deliver on. Now fourth, given our balance sheet, our performance and our outlook, we've reinstituted the dividend. Now it's not quite the same level as what it was pre-COVID-19 but it's in line with our next few quarters' cash flow projections and aligned with, actually, to be honest with you, with just the return of our workforce, which, as you know, was a very important reason why I ask shareholders to accept the suspension of the dividend in April. I simply said it was inappropriate for shareholders to continue to get paid when so many of our people were being left without employment -- with employment (sic) [without employment] and there was so much uncertainty. But that was yesterday. Today, we move forward once again, and shareholders are the landlords of our business and are entitled a return on their capital. So they've invested in our organization. We're going to reinstitute the dividend at $0.03 a month, which works up to $0.36 annually. Now we'll do that for the next couple of quarters, and then we'll reevaluate as we get into 2021, which is the year's half over. So it's not that far away. We could have easily gone back to the full amount, but, again, I don't think it was appropriate to do it. And the Board bought the thesis that we'll get back to the full once we get employment back, and once the economy is on more solid footing. And we're not going to use any of the government funding, the CEWS, for dividends. We're going to use that for growth in the economy, and that's the message that we're going to stick with. So I think the other thing was, to be honest with you, I was really personally irritated that we have such a high yield. And so that makes no sense for a company of ours that's really met every downturn and every crisis head-on, and we've always come out stronger on the other side, our future looks great. And so we implemented what we think is a balanced approach on the dividend for the next few quarters. We looked at -- here's the things that we looked at on the dividend. Do we have the cash flow? Yes. Do we have the cash? Yes. And what were the primary motives that we thought about that our shareholders wanted? We heard from lots of shareholders, we want growth. We heard lots of shareholders, we want dividend. So we had to balance that. I was very concerned as I talked about the yield. What's the level that's appropriate, and we struck a balance based upon where our stock price trades and what our cash flow is [in ever]. And truthfully, we're going to have lots of cash because we're going to be finished with the normal course issuer bid here in August. So we're going to generate lots of cash. We can balance it by giving some back to shareholders and the balance will be used for growth in this company. So that's what we're -- that's our presentation for today, and I'll now turn it over to the operator, and we'll go to the Q&A session. ================================================================================ Questions and Answers -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [1] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Operator Instructions) The first question comes from Konark Gupta from Scotiabank. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Konark Gupta, Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division - Analyst [2] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- First one is probably on your commentary that made that the next couple of quarters could be similar to Q2. Just wanted to dig in a little bit to that. I mean when you say flat, does that mean you are excluding the CEWS subsidy in the earnings? And you expect flattish margins, excluding those subsidies, I guess, plus maybe a stable revenue environment here? Or do you expect some improvement, as you saw probably towards the end of Q2? So just some clarification on that. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [3] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. So that's the adjusted number that we talk about. So as the economy improves, then the -- and we bring back people, then you will generate less of the CEWS. So they'll probably balance themselves out, to be honest. We'll either get it from the government, and they've announced they're going to continue on until the end of the year, I think, Stephen, that it's going to be all the details come out. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. Stephen Clark, Mullen Group Ltd. - CFO [4] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [5] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- But I just want to be clear on this. Whether we get it from the government or we earn it, and our preference is we'd rather get the economy back, get people employed again and get going. Obviously, everybody would like to do that. So I think as the economy improves, then our operating earnings go up and the CEWS go down. So I think something similar seems to make sense. That's our best estimate, and I call it a best guesstimate at the moment, lots of uncertainty. But based upon what we saw in June, there was a pretty nice recovery, particularly on the consumer side of the economy. So -- and every -- all of us can see it. It's just things are busier now. More businesses are more active. And so that gives us a little bit of cover, if you will, that the next bit doesn't look too bad. Now we're always subject to -- you never know how this damn virus is going to work out and then what are the policies that the government is going to have to implement or whatever. But based upon what we know today, we think the next couple of quarters could be something similar to the last couple -- to the last quarter. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Konark Gupta, Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division - Analyst [6] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. That makes sense. And then with respect to your comment on recalling about 50% of the workforce, I think last time, and probably in June, you were recalling about 20% of the workforce. It's obviously gone up. And does it -- is it because of you are kind of expecting a growth ahead. And so you are preparing for that growth? Or is it that you have already seen the demand go up and you're already calling those people? And how soon those people can come back to you? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [7] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. I think that that's one that we take a lot of time when we think about here. We have parts of our economy in which we're having difficulty getting people to come to work. So in our LTL business and where -- there's parts where we're having some shortages of people. Now part of that reason could be that they've -- some of them maybe get paid a little bit too much by the government or maybe not quite as aggressive as they should be looking for jobs. Some of it might be that some of the jobs that were lost are not always transferable to the next part of the economy that's doing well. Let's take, for example, the energy business. A lot of jobs have been lost in the energy business. Those jobs don't necessarily lend themselves to, well, I'm going to go to work in a warehouse or in delivering freight or something like that. I would say the same thing about the hospitality business. A lot of people have lost their jobs in the hospitality business, but they're not going to go to work on our warehouses. They're -- so it's kind of a -- it's a mixed bag there. I'm hopeful that as the economy continues to recover, we can continue to inch back and add people. It seems like we're adding a few more people every week, and we hope that trend continues. But will we be back to full employment by the end of the year? Truthfully, I doubt it. But 2021, I would say, yes, we'll probably be there in 2021, which means our business will be back to where we thought it was in -- at the first of this year. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Konark Gupta, Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division - Analyst [8] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. And last one for me before I turn it over. On the couple of tuck-ins that you disclosed in the MD&A. I was just wondering, one, if you can help us out, without obviously disclosing what you cannot, what is the nature of those acquisitions? And they sounded like they are more on the consumer side of things. And what could be the potential contributions from those M&As? Have you baked those in when you say flat the next couple of quarters? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [9] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, look, I think this is -- what we've announced here this time is significantly different than we've done in the past. The messaging that I'm giving to shareholders is, we are going to be doing acquisitions. We've been -- we've now got letters of intent. Scientifically, we don't announce the letter of intent until we've actually got all of the due diligence done, so we don't have a head fake or whatever. And then we can speak to those of what they are. We're not announcing what those candidates are that we're looking at. That's still -- we're still quiet on those. But I am saying we've signed 2 letters of intent. We're looking at acquisitions. We've got lots in the hopper, but 2 of them we've done -- we are back on the acquisition front, and we're going to be very strategic. And don't be surprised if they're not in the consumer part of the economy and in big markets. But I think we'll just leave it at that until we get the due diligence done. Until you get the purchase sales done and everything, it's just conjecture as to how they might work out. So we're going to be doing more acquisitions. That's what we're telling shareholders. We've got too much cash on the balance sheet. And I've told the team and the Board, we need to be thinking about future growth. And part of that's acquisitions, part of it's strategy as to what parts of the economy do we think are going to be the winners in the future, the next 5 years or so. And that's what we've -- deploying that strong cash position in over the next period. That's our objective. And that's what we're -- that's why we announced that we've signed a letter of intent. But more on the details of that once we get them done. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Konark Gupta, Scotiabank Global Banking and Markets, Research Division - Analyst [10] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. And congrats on a great quarter. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [11] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for the comments. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [12] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The next question comes from Walter Spracklin from RBC Capital Markets. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter Noel Spracklin, RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst [13] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray, how are you doing? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [14] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, we survive, we adapt and we change, right? I mean all of us are doing it. And I think that that's the best I can do. Am I happy? No, but we adapt and we change and our lives have been changed for a bit. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter Noel Spracklin, RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst [15] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Absolutely. And just talking about change and touching on what you were highlighting as your reinvigorated move on acquisitions here. Really curious to see and to get your sense of your strategy, even if you could ballpark of your free cash flow that you expect to generate for every dollar, how much are you kind of earmarking or would you like to earmark for acquisitions? And then what's the pipeline? Or if you're looking at Western Canada, is there enough in the pipeline there to satisfy that thirst? Or do we start to see you move more toward the east? I know you mentioned, these acquisitions were in the larger consumer markets. And I thought that might mean some of the large ones east of you. But I think by referencing them as tuck in, that might -- you might be referring to Western Canada. So just curious pipeline in Western Canada and how much you're looking to devote of every dollar in free cash toward acquisitions? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [16] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me just highlight the free cash from our existing operations. So let me frame this for everybody. Is that typically, the way I look at it is, is that the free cash that we generate, so the cash we generate, we use to operate our existing business to put into our existing business units to strengthen them and to reward our shareholders with some type of dividend or something like that. So the free cash that our existing business generates would be used to strengthen our existing businesses and to give money back to shareholders. The cash that we have on the balance sheet and the bank lines that we are not using right now, are all earmarked for acquisitions and growth. So the truth of the acquisition, what we're saying is our acquisition strategy has not changed because of COVID-19. It was delayed because of COVID-19, and most of us were quite uncertain as to what the future look like and, et cetera. So it didn't appear to make any sense that we go and do acquisitions when we're unsure of what was going to happen. So we put it on pause for a few months, but we're now announcing, we're back, and we're looking at some of the ones we were looking at before. And now we've got a bunch of new ones that are crossing our desk. A lot of them, we just discount. We go -- they don't fit our strategy. So if they don't fit the strategy, I'm not going to do them just to show, hey, we got growth. No, I don't want just growth. We want to do it thoughtfully. And we think how it's going to -- how that's going to work out for our shareholders over the next bit. So yes, we're going to deploy the capital that we've got, that cash, to grow our business and position us for the future. Now where are we going to grow? Well, you know we've got a very strong presence in the east with our investment in the Kriska Group. And they continue to grow and continue to add acquisitions and grow the business. So we've already got a really nice presence back there. And one day, the Kriska Group will be part of the Mullen Group, and that -- so we've got a big presence down there. And then we're looking at some other opportunities also because we've got some business down there. Our Gardewine Group is one of the largest LTL providers in Northern Ontario and Manitoba. I mean they're our biggest business unit. So we'll continue to do tuck-in acquisitions because, I'll tell you, those are bunts and singles. But as I said to some shareholders, that's money ball. You do bunts and singles, you can win games with that. And then we'll look at bigger ones, if it's strategic. And that's how we're looking at it. But more on the acquisitions as we get them done, Walter. But if you're going to be in the -- focused on the consumer, it only makes imminent sense that we've got to be in the bigger markets. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter Noel Spracklin, RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst [17] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. That makes a lot of sense. And when you look at the consumer markets, are you looking at kind of pure LTL operations? Are you tempted to go into truckload at all? Will you move a little bit more into last mile? How do you look at -- when you mentioned it doesn't fit your strategy, do you have a -- maybe relate to us a little bit your strategy within those consumer markets? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [18] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, if you're going to deal with the consumer, it's kind of all parts of those things. You can't deliver LTL if somebody doesn't deliver the full mile if that's basic to truckload but we're not -- there's lots of competition in the truckload business. And our primary focus in the truckload business is to be more in the logistics side of that and use our network and subcontractors and whatever. So that's how we do that. But the final mile LTL business, that's really where you're delivering. Those are really complicated, difficult businesses for a lot of competition to get into. We like the platform we've got. And as you can see from our numbers, that's probably -- we seem to know what we're doing. We've got some excellent businesses that we've invested in over the last bit. I am absolutely delighted with those management teams of how they're driving value and working on the margin side. So that's a focus. (inaudible) in value for our shareholders. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter Noel Spracklin, RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst [19] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. And valuation on these acquisitions, what are -- where are our expectations right now among the sellers? Like what -- if we were to take the cash on your balance sheet and assume some OIBDA growth through acquisitions kind of plugging in a multiple, I'll throw 7x at you. Is that something way above you, with what you would generally contemplate for the type of quality of acquisition you're looking for? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [20] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- God, I hate to have you as my negotiator. So I think I better just leave, not comment on that. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter Noel Spracklin, RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst [21] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me throw a number out there to you. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [22] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Are you for the seller or the buyer? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter Noel Spracklin, RBC Capital Markets, Research Division - MD & Analyst [23] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So okay. I appreciate your time as always, Murray. Stay safe. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [24] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I'm going to be sine die on that one, okay. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [25] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The next question comes from Michael Robertson from National Bank Financial. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Michael Storry-Robertson, National Bank Financial, Inc., Research Division - Associate [26] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Congrats on the stocks. Just a quick one on the potential tuck-ins. I'm trying to get an idea for the potential size of the 2 that you've signed LOIs for. You've mentioned in the past that there's no need to carry an elevated level of cash on the balance sheet. Could we assume that these 2 LOIs would be funded by cash on the balance sheet? Or would they also maybe require leaning on the credit facility? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [27] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. No, we'll use our cash on our balance sheet. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Michael Storry-Robertson, National Bank Financial, Inc., Research Division - Associate [28] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. Great. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [29] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For sure, for sure. That's -- but I mean, that's why we have cash. And for sure, we'll be using the cash on the balance sheet, yes. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Michael Storry-Robertson, National Bank Financial, Inc., Research Division - Associate [30] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. And switching gears. Just trying to wrap my head around how we should be thinking about the impact of the CEWS moving forward. Should we be expecting a similar impact in Q3 as we did in Q2? Just how should we think about that sort of as we move further into 2020? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. Stephen Clark, Mullen Group Ltd. - CFO [31] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yes. Murray, I think I'll take this one. I've been the 1 that's been closest to the CEWS. It feels like some days like I'm a government worker rather than working for shareholders. But so the changes that they announced earlier this week will allow us to essentially get a few more of our business units on there, but not as many as you think. At the height of the recession here, we had 18 business units on the CEWS program. This has been reduced to 12. And as you could surmise, they're all largely in what we would call traditionally the Oilfield Services segment or the S&I segment. So for the third quarter, though, with the announced changes, it's more of a sliding scale, but we would expect a similar amount in the third quarter as far as subsidies go, unless there's a larger recovery than we anticipate. But I really think that because it's really Oilfield Services segment focused and the price of oil and activity there will remain low in the third quarter, that it will be a similar number. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [32] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (Operator Instructions) The next question comes from John Gibson from BMO Capital Markets. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Gibson, BMO Capital Markets Equity Research - Analyst [33] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So if you look at your mid-quarter update, it took place in mid-June. And then you take a look at revenue, it kind of came in at the high end of the guidance. Do you think that the second 2 weeks -- or the last 2 weeks in June were better-than-expected just based on sort of where your revenue came in at? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [34] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- That's -- we've talked -- we've discussed that here, John. And 1 of 2 -- there's 2 conclusions you can draw, in my view, from our mid-quarter update in June. Number one is we either sandbagged everybody. Or number two is the second -- the last few weeks were stronger than what we saw in the first 2 weeks. And I would tend to say it's the latter. Is that we were pleasantly surprised with the demand response, the rehiring response as the month of June unfolded. So we deliberately -- we typically don't sandbag. We typically tell everybody exactly the way we see it. So I would have to say to you, we were pleasantly surprised with the number of the business units and how strong the economy was performing in that -- as the month of June unfolded. It wasn't evident the first week, but boy, it did well as we finished off. And we're hopeful that, that continues on. It appears that maybe the consumer -- we're at the max about what the consumer is doing right now. I don't know if it gets substantially better from this. I don't know how the consumer can spend more, unless the government gives them more. If they do, they'll -- can they spend more? Or will they continue to spend? I think they'll continue to spend. The most important part that I'm really focused on right now is what are businesses doing? We have not seen a massive rebound in some of the capital goods yet -- movement. We've seen lots of consumer goods moving, but we haven't seen that capital goods moving it, and that's the last part of this equation that I think we need to see for us to give you all clear. But clearly, from the consumer side, the consumer appears to have money. There appears to be liquidity in the system, and the consumers are out spending. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Gibson, BMO Capital Markets Equity Research - Analyst [35] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. Great. And then second question. Let me know if I'm wrong, but you said that the next few quarters could be similar to these -- to this quarter in terms of OIBDA. I mean if that happens for the rest of the year, you could even get close to your original pre-COVID 2020 goals just in terms of operating earnings. And as part of those goals were maintaining a dividend at $0.60 a share. So I mean, say, that happens by year-end, do you think you could see a further dividend increase almost back to where it was pre-COVID? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [36] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, we debated that at the Board. And as I said, we probably could have taken the dividend right back to where it was and not been -- not harm our balance sheet one iota. In fact, we think the earnings would have been strong enough. But the truth of the matter is, as I said, I'm very sensitive that we are getting shareholders. Shareholders, we still haven't brought everybody back to work. And I'm very sensitive about the messaging that goes with that. I also don't want any perception that shareholders are benefiting from CEWS. I want 0. That shareholders are not getting anything to do with the CEWS. That's all going to be funds that we're going to put back into the economy to create jobs and build a better -- for this recovery. We're not going to use it for shareholders. What shareholders are getting is based -- is just off of our operations. Now as the economy recovers, and we move away from CEWS, I'll have more cover with which to be able to go back to shareholders and say, okay, we have the all clear. But I'm very, very concerned about messaging right now and how that is perceived by everyone -- by our people that don't have a job. They want to go back to work. I'll bet you, most of those people that are sitting at home and waiting for us to call them back would love to be able to come back to work in one form or another. So we're going to do everything we can to get them back, but there's only a certain level that I'm comfortable with to give back to shareholders. Now look, one of the biggest private shareholders is me. But I'm not comfortable giving money to shareholders that -- for money that came from government. I don't like that connotation one iota. So let's get the economy back, let's get the jobs back and then our shareholders can get the dividend back. The second part is -- I would say to this, I'm just -- I'm not -- you said to me, I'm going to have a 7% or an 8% yield on our dividend. I go, that's crazy. That doesn't make any sense to me. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- John Gibson, BMO Capital Markets Equity Research - Analyst [37] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Okay. Great. And again, congrats on the solid quarter. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [38] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Mullen for any closing remarks. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Murray K. Mullen, Mullen Group Ltd. - Chairman, CEO & President [39] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Well, thanks for joining us, folks, everybody. It's the world, we're all adapting to what's going on. Everybody does their part. We're doing our part here. You're all doing your part. And as I said, I'm really looking forward to the day that we can get this economy back full going. So stay safe, enjoy the rest of the summer as best you can, and we'll talk to you in end of the third quarter. So look forward to having some positive rollouts again. Thank you very much. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Operator [40] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.