Yahoo Finance Earnings Update: Scentre Group (ASX:SCG) Just Reported Its Full-Year Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts
Scentre Group (ASX:SCG) defied analyst predictions to release its full-year results, which were ahead of market expectations. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 3.2% to hit AU$2.3b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at AU$0.17, some 2.1% above whatthe analysts had expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
View our latest analysis for Scentre Group
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Scentre Group's nine analysts is for revenues of AU$2.51b in 2022, which would reflect a decent 10% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 16% to AU$0.20. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of AU$2.36b and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$0.20 in 2022. There doesn't appear to have been a major change in sentiment following the results, other than the small lift in revenue estimates.
Even though revenue forecasts increased, there was no change to the consensus price target of AU$3.13, suggesting the analysts are focused on earnings as the driver of value creation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Scentre Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at AU$3.65 and the most bearish at AU$2.55 per share. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Scentre Group shareholders.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. One thing stands out from these estimates, which is that Scentre Group is forecast to grow faster in the future than it has in the past, with revenues expected to display 10% annualised growth until the end of 2022. If achieved, this would be a much better result than the 2.8% annual decline over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 2.1% annually. So it looks like Scentre Group is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting revenues to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Scentre Group going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here..
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Scentre Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
