Advertisement
Canada markets close in 5 hours 40 minutes
  • S&P/TSX

    21,993.24
    +121.28 (+0.55%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,053.27
    +42.67 (+0.85%)
     
  • DOW

    38,400.70
    +160.72 (+0.42%)
     
  • CAD/USD

    0.7320
    +0.0018 (+0.25%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.01
    +0.11 (+0.13%)
     
  • Bitcoin CAD

    91,508.19
    +911.83 (+1.01%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,430.56
    +15.81 (+1.12%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,341.40
    -5.00 (-0.21%)
     
  • RUSSELL 2000

    1,993.96
    +26.49 (+1.35%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    4.5880
    -0.0350 (-0.76%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    15,630.04
    +178.74 (+1.16%)
     
  • VOLATILITY

    16.38
    -0.56 (-3.31%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,036.51
    +12.64 (+0.16%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,552.16
    +113.55 (+0.30%)
     
  • CAD/EUR

    0.6836
    -0.0014 (-0.20%)
     

Does The William Lyon Homes (NYSE:WLH) Share Price Tend To Follow The Market?

If you own shares in William Lyon Homes (NYSE:WLH) then it’s worth thinking about how it contributes to the volatility of your portfolio, overall. In finance, Beta is a measure of volatility. Volatility is considered to be a measure of risk in modern finance theory. Investors may think of volatility as falling into two main categories. The first type is company specific volatility. Investors use diversification across uncorrelated stocks to reduce this kind of price volatility across the portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock’s exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it’s worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.

View our latest analysis for William Lyon Homes

What WLH’s beta value tells investors

Zooming in on William Lyon Homes, we see it has a five year beta of 1.52. This is above 1, so historically its share price has been influenced by the broader volatility of the stock market the market. If the past is any guide, we would expect that William Lyon Homes shares will rise quicker than the markets in times of optimism, but fall faster in times of pessimism. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see William Lyon Homes’s revenue and earnings in the image below.

NYSE:WLH Income Statement Export January 2nd 19
NYSE:WLH Income Statement Export January 2nd 19

Could WLH’s size cause it to be more volatile?

William Lyon Homes is a noticeably small company, with a market capitalisation of US$408m. Most companies this size are not always actively traded. Relatively few investors can influence the price of a smaller company, compared to a large company. This could explain the high beta value, in this case.

What this means for you:

Since William Lyon Homes tends to moves up when the market is going up, and down when it’s going down, potential investors may wish to reflect on the overall market, when considering the stock. In order to fully understand whether WLH is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as William Lyon Homes’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to continue your research by taking a look at the following:

ADVERTISEMENT
  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for WLH’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for WLH’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has WLH been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of WLH’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how WLH measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.