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How Does Trulieve Cannabis's (CSE:TRUL) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After Its Big Share Price Gain?

Trulieve Cannabis (CSE:TRUL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36%, after some slippage. Unfortunately, the full year gain of 6.1% wasn't so sweet.

All else being equal, a sharp share price increase should make a stock less attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

View our latest analysis for Trulieve Cannabis

Does Trulieve Cannabis Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Trulieve Cannabis's P/E of 7.62 indicates relatively low sentiment towards the stock. If you look at the image below, you can see Trulieve Cannabis has a lower P/E than the average (8.9) in the pharmaceuticals industry classification.

CNSX:TRUL Price Estimation Relative to Market May 18th 2020
CNSX:TRUL Price Estimation Relative to Market May 18th 2020

This suggests that market participants think Trulieve Cannabis will underperform other companies in its industry. Many investors like to buy stocks when the market is pessimistic about their prospects. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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In the last year, Trulieve Cannabis grew EPS like Taylor Swift grew her fan base back in 2010; the 488% gain was both fast and well deserved.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Is Debt Impacting Trulieve Cannabis's P/E?

Net debt totals just 3.1% of Trulieve Cannabis's market cap. The market might award it a higher P/E ratio if it had net cash, but its unlikely this low level of net borrowing is having a big impact on the P/E multiple.

The Verdict On Trulieve Cannabis's P/E Ratio

Trulieve Cannabis has a P/E of 7.6. That's below the average in the CA market, which is 12.0. The company does have a little debt, and EPS growth was good last year. If it continues to grow, then the current low P/E may prove to be unjustified. What we know for sure is that investors are becoming less uncomfortable about Trulieve Cannabis's prospects, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 5.6 to 7.6 over the last month. If you like to buy stocks that could be turnaround opportunities, then this one might be a candidate; but if you're more sensitive to price, then you may feel the opportunity has passed.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Trulieve Cannabis. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.