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How Does TC Energy's (TSE:TRP) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, TC Energy (TSE:TRP) shares are down a considerable 35% in the last month. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 19% in the last year.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

View our latest analysis for TC Energy

How Does TC Energy's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 11.45 that there is some investor optimism about TC Energy. As you can see below, TC Energy has a higher P/E than the average company (5.4) in the oil and gas industry.

TSX:TRP Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020
TSX:TRP Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020

TC Energy's P/E tells us that market participants think the company will perform better than its industry peers, going forward. Clearly the market expects growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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TC Energy saw earnings per share improve by 9.1% last year. And it has bolstered its earnings per share by 12% per year over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. In other words, it does not consider any debt or cash that the company may have on the balance sheet. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

TC Energy's Balance Sheet

TC Energy's net debt is considerable, at 105% of its market cap. This level of debt justifies a relatively low P/E, so remain cognizant of the debt, if you're comparing it to other stocks.

The Bottom Line On TC Energy's P/E Ratio

TC Energy trades on a P/E ratio of 11.5, which is above its market average of 9.9. With meaningful debt and only modest recent earnings growth, the market is either expecting reliable long-term growth, or a near-term improvement. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become significantly less optimistic about TC Energy over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 17.5 back then to 11.5 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.