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Does Centrica plc (LON:CNA) Generate Enough Cash?

Two important questions to ask before you buy Centrica plc (LON:CNA) is, how it makes money and how it spends its cash. This difference directly flows down to how much the stock is worth. Operating in the multi-utilities industry, CNA is currently valued at UK£8.25b. I’ve analysed below, the health and outlook of CNA’s cash flow, which will help you understand the stock from a cash standpoint. Cash is an important concept to grasp as an investor, as it directly impacts the value of your shares and the future growth potential of your portfolio.

Check out our latest analysis for Centrica

What is free cash flow?

Free cash flow (FCF) is the amount of cash Centrica has left after it pays off its expenses, including its net capital expenditures, which is what the company needs to spend each year to maintain or grow its business operations.

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I will be analysing Centrica’s FCF by looking at its FCF yield and its operating cash flow growth. The yield will tell us whether the stock is generating enough cash to compensate for the risk investors take on by holding a single stock, which I will compare to the market index. The growth will proxy for sustainability levels of this cash generation.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Although, Centrica generate sufficient cash from its operational activities, its FCF yield of 6.43% is roughly in-line with the broader market’s high single-digit yield. This means investors are being compensated at the same level as they would be if they just held the well-diversified market index.

LSE:CNA Net Worth August 18th 18
LSE:CNA Net Worth August 18th 18

Is Centrica’s yield sustainable?

Does CNA’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. Over the next couple years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 13.11%, ramping up from its current levels of UK£1.61b to UK£1.82b in three years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, CNA’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 6.59% in the upcoming year, to 2.85% by the end of the third year. However the overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

The yield you receive on Centrica is in-line with that of holding the broader market index. However, if you factor in the higher risk of holding just Centrica compared to the well-diversified market index, the stock doesn’t seem as appealing. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, I recommend you continue to research Centrica to get a more holistic view of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is CNA worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CNA is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Centrica’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.