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How Does Ashtead Group's (LON:AHT) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After Its Big Share Price Gain?

Ashtead Group (LON:AHT) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month alone, although it is still down 13% over the last quarter. However, the annual gain of 4.6% wasn't so impressive.

Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

Check out our latest analysis for Ashtead Group

Does Ashtead Group Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Ashtead Group has a P/E ratio of 12.51. As you can see below Ashtead Group has a P/E ratio that is fairly close for the average for the trade distributors industry, which is 13.1.

LSE:AHT Price Estimation Relative to Market April 30th 2020
LSE:AHT Price Estimation Relative to Market April 30th 2020

Its P/E ratio suggests that Ashtead Group shareholders think that in the future it will perform about the same as other companies in its industry classification. The company could surprise by performing better than average, in the future. I would further inform my view by checking insider buying and selling., among other things.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. That means even if the current P/E is high, it will reduce over time if the share price stays flat. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

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Most would be impressed by Ashtead Group earnings growth of 15% in the last year. And earnings per share have improved by 25% annually, over the last five years. This could arguably justify a relatively high P/E ratio.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. Theoretically, a business can improve its earnings (and produce a lower P/E in the future) by investing in growth. That means taking on debt (or spending its cash).

Such expenditure might be good or bad, in the long term, but the point here is that the balance sheet is not reflected by this ratio.

Is Debt Impacting Ashtead Group's P/E?

Ashtead Group has net debt equal to 44% of its market cap. You'd want to be aware of this fact, but it doesn't bother us.

The Verdict On Ashtead Group's P/E Ratio

Ashtead Group trades on a P/E ratio of 12.5, which is below the GB market average of 14.2. The EPS growth last year was strong, and debt levels are quite reasonable. If it continues to grow, then the current low P/E may prove to be unjustified. What we know for sure is that investors have become more excited about Ashtead Group recently, since they have pushed its P/E ratio from 9.2 to 12.5 over the last month. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might mean it's time to put the stock on a watchlist, or research it. But the contrarian may see it as a missed opportunity.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.