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Discover Financial Services (DFS) in the Digital Currency and Payments Sector: A Strategic Analysis

We recently compiled a list of the 7 Best Digital Currency and Payments Stocks To Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) stands against the other digital currency and payment stocks.

Digital currencies, particularly Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), are revolutionizing the way payment systems operate, drawing significant interest from governments and institutions worldwide. Unlike traditional currencies, CBDCs are digital versions of a nation’s currency issued and regulated by central banks, offering the potential to enhance the efficiency of payment transactions, reduce costs, and accelerate settlement times. These digital currencies utilize distributed ledger technology or a central database, ensuring that every transaction is recorded, providing a transparent and secure system.

Over the past decade, CBDCs have gained traction as a solution to improve cross-border payments, a key area where traditional banking systems often fall short due to high costs, lengthy processing times, and complex intermediaries. CBDCs aim to streamline these processes by reducing payment chains and facilitating faster, more efficient transactions between countries. For example, countries like the Bahamas and China have already launched their own CBDCs, with several others, including the United States, actively piloting or researching their implementation.

These initiatives are not only focused on enhancing wholesale cross-border interbank transactions but also on retail CBDCs, which could significantly improve financial inclusion by making financial services more accessible to the general public. However, the adoption of CBDCs is not without challenges. There are concerns about the potential impact on the stability of financial systems, particularly regarding the roles of financial intermediaries, which could be drastically altered or diminished. Additionally, issues related to privacy, security, and the need for robust regulatory frameworks remain critical as governments explore the broader implementation of CBDCs.

As global interest in digital currencies continues to grow, CBDCs are positioned to play a pivotal role in reshaping the global payments landscape, offering a promising future for faster, more efficient, and inclusive financial systems. McKinsey’s 2023 Digital Payments Consumer Survey reveals that digital payments have become deeply ingrained in consumer behavior, with over 90% of respondents using digital payment methods within the past year. The survey shows that online purchasing remains the most popular form of digital payment, while in-app and in-store payments are growing, particularly among younger consumers. Notably, the trend toward consolidating digital wallets has intensified, with a significant drop in the number of consumers using multiple wallets. Security and trust are critical factors in wallet selection, with many consumers now favoring providers with robust security measures.

The global digital payment market is poised for remarkable growth, with projections indicating it will reach $361.3 billion by 2030, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.1% from 2024 to 2030 (according to industry data by Research and Markets). This rapid expansion is largely fueled by the increasing shift toward non-cash transactions, driven by both consumer preference and the technological advancements occurring within the financial technology (fintech) sector. As consumer behaviors evolve, fintech companies and traditional banks are under pressure to enhance and innovate their digital services to keep up with these changes. The market is also seeing significant contributions from the adoption of biometric authentication methods, such as facial recognition and fingerprint scanning. According to Payments Industry Intelligence, these advanced security measures are expected to protect an estimated $2.5 trillion in mobile payment transactions by 2024, underscoring the critical role of security in the digital payments landscape.

Within this growing market, several segments are expected to maintain or achieve dominance due to various factors. The payment processing segment, for example, is anticipated to retain its leadership position throughout the forecast period. This is largely due to the widespread introduction and expansion of payment networks like Mastercard, Visa, and Rupay across multiple countries, which are helping to drive growth in this area. Additionally, the point-of-sale (POS) segment, which dominated the market in 2023, is projected to experience substantial growth. This growth is being driven by the increasing preference for digital wallets, particularly for e-commerce transactions and online purchases, as consumers seek more convenient and secure payment options.

On-premise deployment of digital payment solutions continues to be a popular choice, especially among large enterprises that require secure and efficient transaction processing. These companies are increasingly adopting digital payment systems to streamline their operations, enhance the visibility of transactions, and improve the overall customer experience by reducing the time required to complete payments.

Geographically, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to witness significant growth from 2024 to 2030, with a notable increase in the adoption of digital payment solutions in emerging economies such as China and India. This regional growth is likely to create new opportunities in the market as these economies continue to embrace digital technologies and move away from traditional cash-based transactions. The banking, financial services, and insurance (BFSI) sector, in particular, is expected to play a crucial role in driving the market’s expansion, as the continued digitalization of banks and financial institutions enhances the adoption of digital payment methods. This trend is not only fostering growth within the region but is also contributing to the global shift towards a more digitally-driven economy.

For investors looking to capitalize on this rapidly expanding sector, the article offers insights into some of the top-performing stocks in the digital currency and payments space.

Our Methodology

We started off our list by compiling a list of all companies that offer digital payments by sifting through ETFs, running screens on Finviz, and reading articles published online. We compiled a list of 15 stocks and selected the 7 that were the most popular among elite hedge funds. The hedge fund sentiment was sourced from Insider Monkey’s database of over 900 hedge funds and is dated as of Q2 2024.

At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

20 Cities Adding the Most Credit Card Debt
20 Cities Adding the Most Credit Card Debt

A business professional in a suit swiping their credit card at the store.

Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 68

At number seven on our list of seven best digital currency and payments stocks to buy now stands Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS). Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) is a robust player in the financial sector, showing strength across its Digital Banking and Payment Services segments. The company’s diverse portfolio, which includes Discover-branded credit cards, personal loans, and payment transaction processing services like PULSE and Diners Club, reflects a solid foundation for sustainable growth. Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) Q2 2024 performance highlighted its ability to navigate challenges and seize strategic opportunities. A key milestone was the agreement to sell its private student loan portfolio to Carlyle and KKR affiliates, which aligns with its strategy to simplify operations and enhance focus on core businesses. This sale, along with a favorable litigation settlement, positively impacted financial results, leading to a 70% year-over-year increase in net income to $1.5 billion.

Despite the broader economic environment, Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) credit performance remains resilient, with net interest margin expansion and disciplined credit management. The company’s proactive risk management and regulatory compliance measures, including settling merchant class actions related to card misclassification, underscore its commitment to resolving legacy issues and strengthening its operational footing. Moreover, the pending merger with Capital One is a significant development that could enhance Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) competitive position by creating a more extensive network and greater operational scale. The merger, progressing smoothly with favorable regulatory signals, could unlock further value for shareholders. Overall, Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) strategic initiatives, robust financial performance, and future prospects, particularly with the upcoming merger, position the company well for continued growth, making it an attractive investment opportunity in the financial services sector.

During Q2, 2024 the count of hedge funds holding positions in Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) fell to 68 from 71 in the prior quarter, as reported by Insider Monkey’s database encompassing 912 hedge funds. These holdings collectively amount to around $3.41 billion. Glenn Greenberg’s Brave Warrior Capital emerged as the leading shareholder among these hedge funds during this timeframe.

Overall DFS ranks 7th on our list of the best digital currency and payments stocks to buy. While we acknowledge the potential of DFS as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than DFS but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

 

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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.