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Brokers Are Upgrading Their Views On CNX Resources Corporation (NYSE:CNX) With These New Forecasts

Celebrations may be in order for CNX Resources Corporation (NYSE:CNX) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.

Following the upgrade, the consensus from five analysts covering CNX Resources is for revenues of US$2.4b in 2023, implying a painful 33% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are anticipated to dive 48% to US$4.72 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.68 in 2023. So we can see there's been a pretty clear increase in analyst sentiment in recent times, with both revenues and earnings per share receiving a decent lift in the latest estimates.

See our latest analysis for CNX Resources

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earnings-and-revenue-growth

Although the analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of US$19.45, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values CNX Resources at US$28.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$15.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that the analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

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Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 42% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2023. That is a notable change from historical growth of 22% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue decline 4.7% annually for the foreseeable future. The forecasts do look bearish for CNX Resources, since they're expecting it to shrink faster than the industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. They also upgraded their revenue estimates, with sales apparently performing well even though revenue growth expected to decline against the wider market this year. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling, but with a serious upgrade to this year's earnings expectations, it might be time to take another look at CNX Resources.

Analysts are definitely bullish on CNX Resources, but no company is perfect. Indeed, you should know that there are several potential concerns to be aware of, including a weak balance sheet. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 1 other warning sign we've identified .

You can also see our analysis of CNX Resources' Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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