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Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

·4 min read

- By GF Value

The stock of Beacon Roofing Supply (NAS:BECN, 30-year Financials) is estimated to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $56.18 per share and the market cap of $3.9 billion, Beacon Roofing Supply stock appears to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Beacon Roofing Supply is shown in the chart below.


Because Beacon Roofing Supply is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 12.3% over the past five years.

Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.

It is always important to check the financial strength of a company before buying its stock. Investing in companies with poor financial strength have a higher risk of permanent loss. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great way to understand the financial strength of a company. Beacon Roofing Supply has a cash-to-debt ratio of 0.25, which is worse than 75% of the companies in Construction industry. The overall financial strength of Beacon Roofing Supply is 5 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Beacon Roofing Supply is fair. This is the debt and cash of Beacon Roofing Supply over the past years:

Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Beacon Roofing Supply has been profitable 8 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $6.7 billion and loss of $2.8 a share. Its operating margin is 4.68%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Construction industry. Overall, the profitability of Beacon Roofing Supply is ranked 7 out of 10, which indicates fair profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Beacon Roofing Supply over the past years:

Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. Beacon Roofing Supply's 3-year average revenue growth rate is better than 81% of the companies in Construction industry. Beacon Roofing Supply's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 3.3%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Construction industry.

One can also evaluate a company's profitability by comparing its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the return on invested capital exceeds the weighted average cost of capital, the company is likely creating value for its shareholders. During the past 12 months, Beacon Roofing Supply's ROIC is 3.79 while its WACC came in at 9.81. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Beacon Roofing Supply is shown below:

Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued
Beacon Roofing Supply Stock Is Believed To Be Significantly Overvalued

In short, the stock of Beacon Roofing Supply (NAS:BECN, 30-year Financials) appears to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is fair. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Construction industry. To learn more about Beacon Roofing Supply stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.

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