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What Is Atrium Mortgage Investment's (TSE:AI) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Atrium Mortgage Investment (TSE:AI) share price has dived 39% in the last thirty days. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that long term investors have an opportunity when expectations of a company are too low. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

See our latest analysis for Atrium Mortgage Investment

Does Atrium Mortgage Investment Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 8.94 that there is some investor optimism about Atrium Mortgage Investment. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (6.4) for companies in the mortgage industry is lower than Atrium Mortgage Investment's P/E.

TSX:AI Price Estimation Relative to Market April 2nd 2020
TSX:AI Price Estimation Relative to Market April 2nd 2020

That means that the market expects Atrium Mortgage Investment will outperform other companies in its industry. Shareholders are clearly optimistic, but the future is always uncertain. So further research is always essential. I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. If earnings are growing quickly, then the 'E' in the equation will increase faster than it would otherwise. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

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Atrium Mortgage Investment increased earnings per share by 2.6% last year. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 1.4%.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

Is Debt Impacting Atrium Mortgage Investment's P/E?

Atrium Mortgage Investment's net debt is 75% of its market cap. This is a reasonably significant level of debt -- all else being equal you'd expect a much lower P/E than if it had net cash.

The Verdict On Atrium Mortgage Investment's P/E Ratio

Atrium Mortgage Investment's P/E is 8.9 which is below average (10.6) in the CA market. While the recent EPS growth is a positive, the significant amount of debt on the balance sheet may be contributing to pessimistic market expectations. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become more pessimistic about Atrium Mortgage Investment over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 14.5 back then to 8.9 today. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. If it is underestimating a company, investors can make money by buying and holding the shares until the market corrects itself. So this free visual report on analyst forecasts could hold the key to an excellent investment decision.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.