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Some ArcWest Exploration (CVE:AWX) Shareholders Have Copped A Big 69% Share Price Drop

Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example the ArcWest Exploration Inc. (CVE:AWX) share price dropped 69% over five years. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 50% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 27% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

See our latest analysis for ArcWest Exploration

ArcWest Exploration hasn't yet reported any revenue, so it's as much a business idea as an actual business. This state of affairs suggests that venture capitalists won't provide funds on attractive terms. As a result, we think it's unlikely shareholders are paying much attention to current revenue, but rather speculating on growth in the years to come. It seems likely some shareholders believe that ArcWest Exploration will find or develop a valuable new mine before too long.

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We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. You should be aware that there is always a chance that this sort of company will need to issue more shares to raise money to continue pursuing its business plan. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. It certainly is a dangerous place to invest, as ArcWest Exploration investors might realise.

ArcWest Exploration had cash in excess of all liabilities of just CA$1.1m when it last reported (March 2019). So if it has not already moved to replenish reserves, we think the near-term chances of a capital raising event are pretty high. With that in mind, you can understand why the share price dropped 21% per year, over 5 years. You can see in the image below, how ArcWest Exploration's cash levels have changed over time (click to see the values). You can click on the image below to see (in greater detail) how ArcWest Exploration's cash levels have changed over time.

TSXV:AWX Historical Debt, July 31st 2019
TSXV:AWX Historical Debt, July 31st 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn't even have revenue. There's no way to know its value easily. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I would feel more nervous about the company if that were so. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.

A Different Perspective

Investors in ArcWest Exploration had a tough year, with a total loss of 50%, against a market gain of about 0.7%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 21% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.