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What Is Altura Energy's (CVE:ATU) P/E Ratio After Its Share Price Tanked?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Altura Energy (CVE:ATU) share price has dived 60% in the last thirty days. Given the 71% drop over the last year, some shareholders might be worried that they have become bagholders. What is a bagholder? It is a shareholder who has suffered a bad loss, but continues to hold indefinitely, without questioning their reasons for holding, even as the losses grow greater.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.

See our latest analysis for Altura Energy

How Does Altura Energy's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

We can tell from its P/E ratio of 10.16 that there is some investor optimism about Altura Energy. The image below shows that Altura Energy has a higher P/E than the average (6.0) P/E for companies in the oil and gas industry.

TSXV:ATU Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 21st 2020
TSXV:ATU Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 21st 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Altura Energy shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Clearly the market expects growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. When earnings grow, the 'E' increases, over time. That means unless the share price increases, the P/E will reduce in a few years. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

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Altura Energy saw earnings per share decrease by 51% last year. And over the longer term (5 years) earnings per share have decreased 30% annually. This could justify a pessimistic P/E.

A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

Is Debt Impacting Altura Energy's P/E?

Altura Energy's net debt equates to 34% of its market capitalization. While that's enough to warrant consideration, it doesn't really concern us.

The Verdict On Altura Energy's P/E Ratio

Altura Energy has a P/E of 10.2. That's around the same as the average in the CA market, which is 9.7. With modest debt, and a lack of recent growth, it would seem the market is expecting improvement in earnings. Given Altura Energy's P/E ratio has declined from 25.4 to 10.2 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is better than it expects, you can make money by buying and holding for the long term. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Altura Energy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.