ACI Worldwide, Inc. (NASDAQ:ACIW), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at ACI Worldwide’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
What is ACI Worldwide worth?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 35%, trading at US$30.50 compared to my intrinsic value of $22.67. This means that the opportunity to buy ACI Worldwide at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that ACI Worldwide’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will ACI Worldwide generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for ACI Worldwide. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ACIW’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ACIW should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ACIW for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ACIW, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that ACI Worldwide has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
If you are no longer interested in ACI Worldwide, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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