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MARKETS LIVE BLOG:

STOCKS SLIDE AFTER META'S REALITY CHECK, DOWNBEAT GDP

Caterpillar sinks 7% after earnings, management sees weakness in Europe, Asia-Pacific

Oil Bulls Might Be Worried about the Yield Spread

Robert Scott
Updated
Oil Bulls Might Be Worried about the Yield Spread

On December 7, the US 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity yield spread fell to ~45 basis points—a multiyear low. The contraction in the yield spread might be due to investors’ demand for a longer-dated maturity security than a shorter dated security. In the last three decades, when the yield spread turned negative, a recession started in the next year. Another contraction in the yield spread might be trouble for oil bulls. Oil is a growth-driven asset.

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