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How to Find Strong Oils-Energy Stocks Slated for Positive Earnings Surprises

Quarterly financial reports play a vital role on Wall Street, as they help investors see how a company has performed and what might be coming down the road in the near-term. And out of all of the metrics and results to consider, earnings is one of the most important.

The earnings figure itself is key, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb even higher.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Earnings ESP, or Expected Surprise Prediction, aims to find earnings surprises by focusing on the most recent analyst revisions. The basic premise is that if an analyst reevaluates their earnings estimate ahead of an earnings release, it means they likely have new information that could possibly be more accurate. The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction.

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Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Permian Resources (PR) earns a Zacks Rank #2 right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.39 a share, just five days from its upcoming earnings release on May 7, 2024.

Permian Resources' Earnings ESP sits at 7.48%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $0.39 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.36.

PR is just one of a large group of Oils-Energy stocks with a positive ESP figure. Cenovus Energy (CVE) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.

Cenovus Energy is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on July 25, 2024. CVE's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.51 a share 84 days from its next earnings release.

For Cenovus Energy, the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.50 is 0.33%.

Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, PR and CVE could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research