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These 2 Retail-Wholesale Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

Two factors often determine stock prices in the long run: earnings and interest rates. Investors can't control the latter, but they can focus on a company's earnings results every quarter.

The earnings figure itself is key, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb even higher.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.

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The last thing we will do today, now that we have a grasp on the ESP and how powerful of a tool it can be, is to look at a qualifying stock. Macy's (M) holds a Zacks Rank #3 at the moment and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $0.26 a share 13 days away from its upcoming earnings release on May 21, 2024.

By taking the percentage difference between the $0.26 Most Accurate Estimate and the $0.18 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Macy's has an Earnings ESP of 48.57%.

M is part of a big group of Retail-Wholesale stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at TJX (TJX) as well.

Slated to report earnings on May 15, 2024, TJX holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $0.89 a share seven days from its next quarterly update.

TJX's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 2.5% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.87.

Because both stocks hold a positive Earnings ESP, M and TJX could potentially post earnings beats in their next reports.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Macy's, Inc. (M) : Free Stock Analysis Report

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research